THE ALTERNATIVE
Adam Trautman
TE ยท DENStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Adam Trautman or Ian Thomas this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ian Thomas
Week 7 ยท PPR
Ian Thomas averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Adam Trautman. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Ian Thomas: 4.4 versus 0.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Adam Trautman
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Adam Trautman
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.9
FantasyProsโ
Adam Trautman faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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