Should I start Harold Fannin Jr. or Mike Gesicki this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Harold Fannin Jr.

+2.8 projected edge · PPR

Start Harold Fannin Jr. over Mike Gesicki for Week 9 PPR: 12.4 projected points versus 9.6.

Harold Fannin Jr.: 12.8 FP recent scoring average.
Harold Fannin Jr.: 3.75% matchup lift against NO.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:24 PM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Harold Fannin Jr.

TE · CLEStats & schedule

12.4FF projected

↑ +0.9 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Mike Gesicki

TE · CINStats & schedule

9.6FF projected

↑ +1.4 vs ESPN

at ATL

Sun 9:30 AM ET

Why this pick?

Harold Fannin Jr.

FF projection: 12.4 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 11.5 FP
Sleeper: 11.4 FP
FantasyPros: 11.6 FP

Harold Fannin Jr. faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Mike Gesicki

FF projection: 9.6 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.1 FP
Sleeper: 10.3 FP
FantasyPros: 9.0 FP

Mike Gesicki faces ATL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.6 fantasy points.

Harold Fannin Jr. projects for 12.4 points in PPR scoring, 2.8 more than Mike Gesicki. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 7, 2026, 1:24 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Harold Fannin Jr. and Mike Gesicki?

Harold Fannin Jr. holds a 2.8 FP projected edge over Mike Gesicki. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Harold Fannin Jr. higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Harold Fannin Jr. has a 12.4 FP forecast in PPR at NO. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.8 FP, putting this forecast 0.4 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki has a 9.6 FP forecast in PPR at ATL. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.6 FP, putting this forecast 3.0 points below that average.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Harold Fannin Jr.	Mike Gesicki	Projected edge
ESPN	11.5 FP	8.1 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +3.4
Sleeper	11.4 FP	10.3 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +1.1
FantasyPros	11.6 FP	9.0 FP	Harold Fannin Jr. +2.6

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Harold Fannin Jr.: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Mike Gesicki: Sun 9:30 AM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.318.6

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.5
18.6Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.2Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 16.4
17.6Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.6
15.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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TE · Week 9