
Should I start Harold Fannin Jr. or Malik Washington this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Malik Washington
Week 10 ยท PPR
Malik Washington has the higher current FF forecast: 10.3 FP versus 10.2 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Malik Washington: 10.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Harold Fannin Jr.: 12.8 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Malik Washington
WR ยท MIAStats & schedule โบHarold Fannin Jr.
- Recent scoring average: 12.8 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Malik Washington
- Recent scoring average: 10.8 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.7 targets per game.
Harold Fannin Jr.
- FF projection
- 10.2 FP -0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 11.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 11.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 9.0 FP
Harold Fannin Jr. faces HOU in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 12.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Malik Washington
- FF projection
- 10.3 FP +1.0vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 9.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 10.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 10.1 FP
Malik Washington faces IND in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 10.8 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Harold Fannin Jr. and Malik Washington?
Harold Fannin Jr. and Malik Washington are separated by 0.1 projected FP. That margin is too small to treat the FF order as a decisive advantage. The FF pick above follows the same expected-points and displayed-tie policy as Fortified Rankings; the saved source comparison below provides supporting context.
The available estimates disagree: ESPN, Sleeper lean toward Harold Fannin Jr., while FantasyPros leans toward Malik Washington. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.
Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. has a 10.2 FP forecast in PPR against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.8 FP, putting this forecast 2.6 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Malik Washington
Malik Washington has a 10.3 FP forecast in PPR at IND. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.8 FP, putting this forecast 0.5 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Harold Fannin Jr. | Malik Washington | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| ESPN | 11.1 FP | 9.3 FP | Harold Fannin Jr. +1.8 |
| Sleeper | 11.4 FP | 10.5 FP | Harold Fannin Jr. +0.9 |
| FantasyPros | 9.0 FP | 10.1 FP | Malik Washington +1.1 |
Before the first kickoff. Harold Fannin Jr.: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Malik Washington: Sun 1:00 PM ET.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.2Sleeper 25.2FantasyPros 20.623.4Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.5Sleeper 23.5FantasyPros 19.622.8Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.122.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Harold Fannin Jr.
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