
Should I start Gunnar Helm or Mark Andrews this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Mark Andrews
Week 10 ยท PPR
Mark Andrews has the higher current FF forecast: 6.6 FP versus 6.1 FP. The 0.5-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Mark Andrews: 4.5 FP recent scoring average.
- Mark Andrews: 7.5% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Gunnar Helm get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Mark Andrews
TE ยท BALStats & schedule โบGunnar Helm
- Recent scoring average: 10.0 FP.
- The JAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Mark Andrews
- Recent scoring average: 4.5 FP.
- The LAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Gunnar Helm
- FF projection
- 6.1 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 5.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.3 FP
Gunnar Helm faces JAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 10.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Mark Andrews
- FF projection
- 6.6 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.4 FP
Mark Andrews faces LAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.8Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 16.717.8Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 16.416.7Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.1Sleeper 15.6FantasyPros 15.715.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Mark Andrews6.6projected FP
Greg Dulcich8.1projected FP
Mark Andrews6.6projected FP
Tyler Higbee6.9projected FP
Mark Andrews6.6projected FP
Tommy Tremble6.0projected FP
Mark Andrews6.6projected FP
Brevyn Spann-Ford6.0projected FP
Brock Bowers17.8projected FP
George Kittle16.7projected FP
George Kittle16.7projected FP
Trey McBride15.8projected FP
Trey McBride15.8projected FP
Isaiah Likely14.2projected FP
Isaiah Likely14.2projected FP
Travis Kelce12.7projected FP
Travis Kelce12.7projected FP
Tyler Warren12.2projected FP
Tyler Warren12.2projected FP
Harold Fannin Jr.11.4projected FP