THE ALTERNATIVE
Gavin Bartholomew
TE · MINStats & schedule ›1.9FF projected
↑ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Gavin Bartholomew or Velus Jones Jr. this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Velus Jones Jr.
Week 7 · PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Velus Jones Jr. after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · PPR
vs INDRESEARCH PICK
Velus Jones Jr.
WR · SEAStats & schedule ›2.2FF projected
↓ -1.0 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Gavin Bartholomew
FF1.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.4 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Velus Jones Jr.
FF2.2 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Gavin Bartholomew
Fortified1.9
ESPN1.5
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Gavin Bartholomew faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points.
Velus Jones Jr.
Fortified2.2
ESPN3.1
Sleeper1.8
FantasyPros—
Velus Jones Jr. faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
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