
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Nico Collins this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Nico Collins
+0.7 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Nico Collins over Garrett Wilson for Week 10 PPR: 13.9 projected points versus 13.2.
Garrett Wilson: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.
Garrett Wilson ยท Injury report dated
- Nico Collins: 9.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Garrett Wilson: 9.4 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR




Garrett Wilson
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Nico Collins
- FF projection
- 13.9 FP +0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 13.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 15.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 13.4 FP
Nico Collins faces CLE in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 9.1 fantasy points.
Garrett Wilson
- FF projection
- 13.2 FP +0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 12.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 14.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 12.3 FP
Garrett Wilson faces BUF in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 9.4 fantasy points. Garrett Wilson is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 83% chance of playing (checked Nov 12, 9:00 AM ET).
FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Garrett Wilson get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โYour next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.3Sleeper 23.8FantasyPros 22.624.2Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 19.5FantasyPros 20.022.8Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.9Sleeper 19.8FantasyPros 21.121.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 10 decisions
Nico Collins13.9projected FP
Tetairoa McMillan16.0projected FP
Nico Collins13.9projected FP
Rashee Rice13.9projected FP
Nico Collins13.9projected FP
Jameson Williams14.2projected FP
Nico Collins13.9projected FP
Drake London14.3projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba24.2projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown22.8projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown22.8projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.3projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.3projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.5projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.5projected FP
Tee Higgins19.3projected FP
Tee Higgins19.3projected FP
Malik Nabers17.8projected FP
Malik Nabers17.8projected FP
Justin Jefferson17.7projected FP