
Should I start Elijah Higgins or Mark Andrews this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Mark Andrews
+1.6 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Mark Andrews over Elijah Higgins for Week 10 PPR: 5.9 projected points versus 4.3.
- Mark Andrews: 3.7 FP recent scoring average.
- Mark Andrews: 3.75% matchup reduction against LAC.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Elijah Higgins
TE ยท ARIStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Mark Andrews
- FF projection
- 5.9 FP -0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 8.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.6 FP
Mark Andrews faces LAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Elijah Higgins
- FF projection
- 4.3 FP -0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.2 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.8 FP
Elijah Higgins faces LAR in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Isaiah LikelyTE ยท NYG vs WASThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 13.0FantasyPros 16.816.3Expected FP - 2
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.3Sleeper 17.9FantasyPros 13.815.9Expected FP - 3
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.4Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 13.515.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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