THE ALTERNATIVE
Deshaun Watson
QB ยท CLEStats & schedule โบ14.2FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at TENSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr. this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Penix Jr.
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Michael Penix Jr.: 16.7 versus 11.5 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at TENRESEARCH PICK
Michael Penix Jr.
QB ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ14.7FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Deshaun Watson
FF14.2 FP
Boosted Trees14.5 FP
Workload13.4 FP
Monte Carlo13.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 11.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 6.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 30.7 pass attempts per game.
Michael Penix Jr.
FF14.7 FP
Boosted Trees13.8 FP
Workload14.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 16.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 16.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 28.3 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Deshaun Watson
Fortified14.2
ESPN14.2
Sleeper13.8
FantasyProsโ
Deshaun Watson faces TEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.5 fantasy points.
Michael Penix Jr.
Fortified14.7
ESPN14.6
Sleeper15.1
FantasyProsโ
Michael Penix Jr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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