THE ALTERNATIVE
Michael Penix Jr.
QB ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ14.7FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Tyler Shough this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tyler Shough
Week 7 ยท PPR
Tyler Shough averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 28.3 for Michael Penix Jr.. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Tyler Shough
QB ยท NOStats & schedule โบ14.6FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Michael Penix Jr.
FF14.7 FP
Boosted Trees13.8 FP
Workload14.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 16.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 16.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 28.3 pass attempts per game.
Tyler Shough
FF14.6 FP
Boosted Trees15.6 FP
Workload13.7 FP
Monte Carlo13.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 14.3 FP.
- The PIT defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 34.3 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Penix Jr.
Fortified14.7
ESPN14.6
Sleeper15.1
FantasyProsโ
Michael Penix Jr. faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 16.7 fantasy points.
Tyler Shough
Fortified14.6
ESPN15.3
Sleeper14.8
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Shough faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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