
Should I start DeMario Douglas or Jordan Addison this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: DeMario Douglas
Week 9 ยท PPR
DeMario Douglas has the higher current FF forecast: 10.6 FP versus 10.4 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- DeMario Douglas: 13.8 FP recent scoring average.
- Jordan Addison: 8.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Jordan Addison
WR ยท MINStats & schedule โบDeMario Douglas
- Recent scoring average: 13.8 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Jordan Addison
- Recent scoring average: 8.0 FP.
- The BUF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
DeMario Douglas
DeMario Douglas faces GB in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 13.8 fantasy points.
Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison faces BUF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 8.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 24.1FantasyPros 22.924.8Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 24.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.2FantasyPros 24.124.6Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 21.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.5Sleeper 20.2FantasyPros 20.021.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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DeMario Douglas10.6projected FP
Michael Wilson12.1projected FP
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KC Concepcion Jr.10.3projected FP
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Denzel Boston10.3projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba24.8projected FP
Puka Nacua24.6projected FP
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CeeDee Lamb21.2projected FP
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Ja'Marr Chase21.0projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.0projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Tee Higgins20.5projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown20.1projected FP
Malik Nabers19.1projected FP
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Jordan Addison