Fortified Fantasy

Week 92026 ยท PPR ยท THIS WEEK

Should I start Colby Parkinson or Dallas Goedert this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Dallas Goedert

+1.2 projected edge ยท PPR

Start Dallas Goedert over Colby Parkinson for Week 9 PPR: 9.7 projected points versus 8.6.

  • Colby Parkinson: 11.9 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup lift against WAS.
  • Dallas Goedert: 9.7 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated ยท PPR

Dallas Goedert
Why this pick?

Dallas Goedert

Fortified9.7
ESPN8.9
Sleeper9.6
FantasyPros9.7

Dallas Goedert faces NYG in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.7 fantasy points.

Colby Parkinson

Fortified8.6
ESPN7.4
Sleeper5.2
FantasyPros6.6

Colby Parkinson faces WAS in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 11.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%. Colby Parkinson is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 58% chance of playing (checked Nov 4, 12:40 PM ET).

Dallas Goedert projects for 9.7 points, 1.2 more than Colby Parkinson.

Updated Nov 4, 2026, 12:41 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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#1 Week ยท #1 ROS ยท #1 Playoffs
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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian ยท when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%โ— ESPNโ— Sleeperโ— FantasyPros
3 shown ยท common FP scale
14.318.8
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    18.6Expected FP
  2. 2
    George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.0Expected FP
  3. 3
    Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โ€“P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

See full TE rankings โ†—

YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK

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Dallas Goedert or DeMario Douglas? โ†—

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Still need a replacement?

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