
Should I start Caleb Williams or Jordan Love this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Caleb Williams
+0.9 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Caleb Williams over Jordan Love for Week 9 PPR: 17.6 projected points versus 16.6.
- Caleb Williams: 17.5 FP recent scoring average; 7.5% matchup reduction against TB.
- Jordan Love: 19.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Jordan Love
QB ยท GBStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams faces TB in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 17.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Jordan Love
Jordan Love faces NE in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 19.6 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
QB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Joe BurrowQB ยท CIN vs ATLSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 23.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.4Sleeper 20.3FantasyPros 21.323.4Expected FP - 2
Brock PurdyQB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.1Sleeper 21.7FantasyPros 22.322.6Expected FP - 3
Jared GoffQB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 19.4FantasyPros 19.820.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 9 decisions
Caleb Williams17.6projected FP
Jared Goff20.9projected FP
Caleb Williams17.6projected FP
Josh Allen17.9projected FP
Caleb Williams17.6projected FP
Kirk Cousins16.8projected FP
Caleb Williams17.6projected FP
Sam Darnold18.7projected FP
Joe Burrow23.4projected FP
Brock Purdy22.6projected FP
Brock Purdy22.6projected FP
Jared Goff20.9projected FP
Jared Goff20.9projected FP
Dak Prescott20.4projected FP
Dak Prescott20.4projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II19.8projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II19.8projected FP
Malik Willis19.7projected FP
Malik Willis19.7projected FP
Trevor Lawrence19.3projected FP