Should I start Caleb Williams or Sam Darnold this week? Week 8 PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Caleb Williams

Week 8 · PPR

Recent scoring favors Caleb Williams: 19.3 versus 11.1 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:18 AM ET · PPR

RESEARCH PICK

Caleb Williams

QB · CHIStats & schedule

14.6FF projected

↓ -1.0 vs ESPN

at SEA

Mon 8:15 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Sam Darnold

QB · SEAStats & schedule

14.6FF projected

↓ -0.1 vs ESPN

vs CHI

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Caleb Williams

FF14.6 FP

Boosted Trees15.4 FP

Workload14.9 FP

Monte Carlo16.2 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 7.2–25.9 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 16.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 19.3 FP.
The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Kyle Monangai; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 30.3 pass attempts per game.

Sam Darnold

FF14.6 FP

Boosted Trees16.5 FP

Workload14.2 FP

Monte Carlo14.8 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 6.2–23.6 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 9.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 11.1 FP.
The CHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 1.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Drew Lock, Rashid Shaheed, Velus Jones Jr., Zach Charbonnet, Jadarian Price; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 34.0 pass attempts per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Caleb Williams

Fortified14.6

ESPN15.6

Sleeper15.1

Caleb Williams faces SEA in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 19.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Sam Darnold

Fortified14.6

ESPN14.8

Sleeper14.9

Sam Darnold faces CHI in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 11.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.

The projections are effectively level (14.6 vs 14.6 FP). There is no meaningful projected edge. Compare the matchups and confirm your lineup before kickoff. FantasyPros projections are temporarily unavailable; they are excluded from this comparison.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:18 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.