
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Tony Pollard this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Ashton Jeanty
Week 10 ยท PPR
Ashton Jeanty has the higher current FF forecast: 13.5 FP versus 13.3 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Ashton Jeanty: 15.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Tony Pollard: 24.3 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Tony Pollard
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบAshton Jeanty
- Recent scoring average: 15.9 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Tony Pollard
- Recent scoring average: 24.3 FP.
- The JAC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 16.3 carries per game.
Ashton Jeanty
- FF projection
- 13.5 FP -0.9vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 14.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 14.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 12.5 FP
Ashton Jeanty faces SEA in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 15.9 fantasy points.
Tony Pollard
- FF projection
- 13.3 FP -0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 14.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 11.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 11.3 FP
Tony Pollard faces JAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 24.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.5Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.122.5Expected FP - 2
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.1Sleeper 23.6FantasyPros 20.122.4Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.6Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 20.922.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
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Ashton Jeanty13.5projected FP
Jaylen Warren16.1projected FP
Ashton Jeanty13.5projected FP
Chase Brown13.6projected FP
Ashton Jeanty13.5projected FP
Breece Hall14.1projected FP
Ashton Jeanty13.5projected FP
Derrick Henry14.1projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.5projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs22.4projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs22.4projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.0projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.0projected FP
Chuba Hubbard20.5projected FP
Chuba Hubbard20.5projected FP
James Cook III19.4projected FP
James Cook III19.4projected FP
Bijan Robinson19.2projected FP
Bijan Robinson19.2projected FP
Jonathan Taylor19.1projected FP