
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Ollie Gordon II this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Ashton Jeanty
Week 9 ยท PPR
Ashton Jeanty has the higher current FF forecast: 12.9 FP versus 12.5 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Ollie Gordon II
RB ยท MIAStats & schedule โบAshton Jeanty
- Recent scoring average: 15.9 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Ollie Gordon II
- Recent scoring average: 12.1 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 14.7 carries per game.
Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty faces SF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 15.9 fantasy points.
Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II faces DET in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 12.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 28.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.5Sleeper 25.7FantasyPros 26.328.0Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.8Sleeper 22.7FantasyPros 20.622.4Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.0Sleeper 21.6FantasyPros 21.122.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Ashton Jeanty12.9projected FP
Jonah Coleman14.7projected FP
Ashton Jeanty12.9projected FP
Cam Skattebo12.6projected FP
Ashton Jeanty12.9projected FP
Rhamondre Stevenson12.0projected FP
Ashton Jeanty12.9projected FP
Saquon Barkley13.7projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.4projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.3projected FP
Kenneth Walker III22.3projected FP
Jonathan Taylor20.7projected FP
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Bijan Robinson19.9projected FP
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Kyren Williams18.0projected FP
Kyren Williams18.0projected FP
Javonte Williams17.8projected FP
Javonte Williams17.8projected FP
Chuba Hubbard17.1projected FP