
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Jonah Coleman this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Jonah Coleman
+1.8 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Jonah Coleman over Ashton Jeanty for Week 9 PPR: 14.7 projected points versus 12.9.
- Ashton Jeanty: 15.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Jonah Coleman: 14.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup lift against CAR.
Forecast updated ยท PPR



Ashton Jeanty
RB ยท LVStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman faces CAR in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 14.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 8.75%.
Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty faces SF in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 15.9 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9 ยท PPR
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 28.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.5Sleeper 25.7FantasyPros 26.328.0Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.8Sleeper 22.7FantasyPros 20.622.4Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.0Sleeper 21.6FantasyPros 21.122.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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