Should I start Ashton Dulin or Johnny Mundt this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)

Ashton Dulin

Middle 80% scoring range: -1.0–6.4 FP

• His prior three-game scoring average was 5.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
• Recent scoring average: 5.9 FP.
• The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
• The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.

Johnny Mundt

• His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
• Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
• The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
• Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
• Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.