THE ALTERNATIVE
Arian Smith
WR · NYJStats & schedule ›0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Arian Smith or Justin Joly this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Justin Joly
Week 7 · PPR
Justin Joly receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-2.5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · PPR
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Justin Joly
TE · MIAStats & schedule ›0.2FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Arian Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- INJURY_RESERVE
- Last 2 recorded games: 0.5 targets per game.
Justin Joly
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Arian Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyPros—
Arian Smith faces MIA in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. INJURY_RESERVE
Justin Joly
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.5
FantasyPros—
Justin Joly faces NYJ in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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