THE ALTERNATIVE
Arian Smith
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ0.0FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Arian Smith or Justin Joly this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Justin Joly
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Justin Joly receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-3.75% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Justin Joly
TE ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ0.2FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
Arian Smith
FF0.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.0 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.0 FP
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- INJURY_RESERVE
- Last 2 recorded games: 0.5 targets per game.
Justin Joly
FF0.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.3 FP
Workload0.0 FP
Monte Carlo0.1 FP
- The NYJ defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Projection breakdown
Arian Smith
Fortified0.0
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.0
FantasyProsโ
Arian Smith faces MIA in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. INJURY_RESERVE
Justin Joly
Fortified0.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Justin Joly faces NYJ in Week 7. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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