RESEARCH PICK
AJ Dillon
RB · CARStats & schedule ›2.7FF projected
↓ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Daniel Bellinger this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start AJ Dillon
Week 7 · PPR
Recent scoring favors AJ Dillon: 1.7 versus 0.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated · PPR
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Daniel Bellinger
TE · TENStats & schedule ›2.3FF projected
↓ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF2.7 FP
Boosted Trees2.3 FP
Workload3.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.7 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Daniel Bellinger
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees3.2 FP
Workload2.4 FP
Monte Carlo2.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
AJ Dillon
Fortified2.7
ESPN3.3
Sleeper2.5
FantasyPros—
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Daniel Bellinger
Fortified2.3
ESPN2.8
Sleeper2.0
FantasyPros—
Daniel Bellinger faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.9 fantasy points.
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