
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or RJ Harvey this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Aaron Jones Sr.
RJ Harvey is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Aaron Jones Sr. has a scheduled game and projects for 8.7 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 4.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 7.5% matchup lift against GB.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could RJ Harvey get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

RJ Harvey
RB ยท DENStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Aaron Jones Sr.
- FF projection
- 8.7 FP +0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 9.3 FP
- FantasyPros
- 8.9 FP
Aaron Jones Sr. faces GB in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
RJ Harvey
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 14.0 fantasy points. BYE
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Aaron Jones Sr. and RJ Harvey?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
Sleeper also projects Aaron Jones Sr. higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Aaron Jones Sr.
Aaron Jones Sr. has a 8.7 FP forecast in PPR at GB. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.2 FP, putting this forecast 4.5 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 7.5%; it is already included in the projection.
RJ Harvey
RJ Harvey has a 0.0 FP forecast in PPR. His recorded recent scoring average is 14.0 FP, putting this forecast 14.0 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Aaron Jones Sr. | RJ Harvey | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 9.3 FP | 0.0 FP | Aaron Jones Sr. +9.3 |
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 23.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.9Sleeper 24.4FantasyPros 24.323.9Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 22.6FantasyPros 21.522.8Expected FP - 3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.1Sleeper 18.3FantasyPros 20.922.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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