
Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Chris Rodriguez Jr. this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Aaron Jones Sr.
+0.4 projected edge ยท PPR
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chris Rodriguez Jr. for Week 10 PPR: 8.6 projected points versus 8.2.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. ยท Injury report dated
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 4.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Aaron Jones Sr.: 7.5% matchup lift against GB.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Chris Rodriguez Jr. get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB ยท JACStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Aaron Jones Sr.
- FF projection
- 8.6 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 8.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 9.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 8.7 FP
Aaron Jones Sr. faces GB in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
- FF projection
- 8.2 FP +1.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 7.2 FP
Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces TEN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 12.0 fantasy points. Chris Rodriguez Jr. is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 92% chance of playing (checked Nov 13, 6:35 AM ET).
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 23.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.9Sleeper 24.4FantasyPros 24.423.9Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 26.1Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 21.423.8Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 22.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.8Sleeper 22.6FantasyPros 21.822.9Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
More decisions involving your players
More Week 10 decisions
Aaron Jones Sr.8.6projected FP
Rico Dowdle10.1projected FP
Aaron Jones Sr.8.6projected FP
Dylan Sampson8.5projected FP
Aaron Jones Sr.8.6projected FP
Corey Kiner8.1projected FP
Aaron Jones Sr.8.6projected FP
Alvin Kamara9.1projected FP
Jahmyr Gibbs23.9projected FP
Kenneth Walker III23.8projected FP
Kenneth Walker III23.8projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.9projected FP
Christian McCaffrey22.9projected FP
Bijan Robinson20.8projected FP
Bijan Robinson20.8projected FP
Chuba Hubbard20.6projected FP
Chuba Hubbard20.6projected FP
James Cook III18.9projected FP
James Cook III18.9projected FP
Kyren Williams18.1projected FP
Mike Gesicki
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Ladd McConkey