Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Xavier Worthy: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Xavier Worthy · Injury report dated Nov 8, 2026, 4:11 PM ET

Aaron Jones Sr.: 4.8 FP recent scoring average.
Aaron Jones Sr.: 3.75% matchup lift against GB.

Forecast updated Nov 8, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MINStats & schedule

9.2FF projected

↑ +1.7 vs ESPN

at GB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Xavier Worthy

WR · KCStats & schedule

10.4FF projected

↑ +1.4 vs ESPN

at ATL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Aaron Jones Sr.

FF projection: 9.2 FP +1.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.5 FP
Sleeper: 10.0 FP
FantasyPros: 10.4 FP

Aaron Jones Sr. faces GB in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Xavier Worthy

FF projection: 10.4 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.9 FP
Sleeper: 10.4 FP
FantasyPros: 10.9 FP

Xavier Worthy faces ATL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 7.6 fantasy points. Xavier Worthy is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 8, 2026, 7:06 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Aaron Jones Sr. and Xavier Worthy?

Availability takes priority over the points comparison. The headline warning above still applies; the supporting forecasts below do not clear an injured player to start.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros project Xavier Worthy higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Aaron Jones Sr.

Aaron Jones Sr. has a 9.2 FP forecast in PPR at GB. His recorded recent scoring average is 4.8 FP, putting this forecast 4.4 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 3.75%; it is already included in the projection.

Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy has a 10.4 FP forecast in PPR at ATL. His recorded recent scoring average is 7.6 FP, putting this forecast 2.8 points above that average. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Aaron Jones Sr.	Xavier Worthy	Projected edge
ESPN	7.5 FP	8.9 FP	Xavier Worthy +1.5
Sleeper	10.0 FP	10.4 FP	Xavier Worthy +0.4
FantasyPros	10.4 FP	10.9 FP	Xavier Worthy +0.4

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Aaron Jones Sr.: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Xavier Worthy: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

Tap a player for alternatives, or search a name.

First playerSecond player

Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

19.125.2

FF MEAN

1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 23.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.2Sleeper 25.2FantasyPros 20.6
23.4Expected FP
2
Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs ARISun 4:05 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 22.8Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.5Sleeper 23.5FantasyPros 19.6
22.8Expected FP
3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 22.5Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 22.5Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.1
22.5Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

More decisions involving your players

Compare another option for the same lineup decision. These are Start/Sit decisions for players you already own. Availability and scoring can change the call.

Flex · Week 10