Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Xavier Worthy

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Recent scoring favors Xavier Worthy: 6.7 versus 4.8 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:36 AM ET · Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARIStats & schedule

6.8FF projected

↓ -0.3 vs ESPN

at DAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Xavier Worthy

WR · KCStats & schedule

6.9FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

at DEN

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Tyler Allgeier

FF6.8 FP

Boosted Trees5.8 FP

Workload5.9 FP

Monte Carlo7.8 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 2.0–15.3 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 4.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 4.8 FP.
The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 2.3 targets and 7.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include James Conner, Carson Beck, Tip Reiman, Jeremiyah Love; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 carries per game.

Xavier Worthy

FF6.9 FP

Boosted Trees6.4 FP

Workload7.5 FP

Monte Carlo8.3 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.2–17.1 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 10.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 6.7 FP.
The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 6.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Rashee Rice; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Tyler Allgeier

Fortified6.8

ESPN7.1

Sleeper6.4

FantasyPros6.9

Tyler Allgeier faces DAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 4.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.

Xavier Worthy

Fortified6.9

ESPN6.5

Sleeper7.3

FantasyPros7.0

Xavier Worthy faces DEN in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

Xavier Worthy projects for 6.9 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.1 more than Tyler Allgeier. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice. FantasyPros refresh is rate-limited. Same-week cached projections are used (under one hour old; oldest update Oct 28, 2026, 12:15 AM ET).

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:36 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.