Should I start Keon Coleman or Xavier Worthy this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Xavier Worthy

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Xavier Worthy averaged 5.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.0 for Keon Coleman. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET · Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Keon Coleman

WR · BUFStats & schedule

7.2FF projected

↑ +1.6 vs ESPN

vs BAL

Sun 1:00 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Xavier Worthy

WR · KCStats & schedule

6.9FF projected

↑ +0.4 vs ESPN

at DEN

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Keon Coleman

FF7.2 FP

Boosted Trees6.3 FP

Workload7.2 FP

Monte Carlo7.2 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.2–14.9 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 10.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 10.6 FP.
The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.

Xavier Worthy

FF6.9 FP

Boosted Trees6.4 FP

Workload7.5 FP

Monte Carlo8.3 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.2–17.1 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 10.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 6.7 FP.
The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 6.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Rashee Rice; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Keon Coleman

Fortified7.2

ESPN5.6

Sleeper6.4

FantasyPros6.5

Keon Coleman faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 10.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.

Xavier Worthy

Fortified6.9

ESPN6.5

Sleeper7.3

FantasyPros7.0

Xavier Worthy faces DEN in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 6.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

Keon Coleman projects for 7.2 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.3 more than Xavier Worthy. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice. FantasyPros refresh is rate-limited. Same-week cached projections are used (under one hour old; oldest update Oct 28, 2026, 12:15 AM ET).

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.