Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Sam Darnold this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Patrick Mahomes

+2.1 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Patrick Mahomes over Sam Darnold for Week 7 Half-PPR: 14.3 projected points versus 12.3.

Patrick Mahomes: 13.7 FP recent scoring average; 8.75% matchup reduction against SEA.
Sam Darnold: 10.9 FP recent scoring average; 7.5% matchup reduction against KC.

Forecast updated Oct 25, 2026, 3:17 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KCStats & schedule

14.3FF projected

↓ -1.3 vs ESPN

at SEA

Sun 8:20 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Sam Darnold

QB · SEAStats & schedule

12.3FF projected

↓ -0.6 vs ESPN

vs KC

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Why this pick?

Patrick Mahomes

Fortified14.3

ESPN15.6

Sleeper15.5

FantasyPros—

Patrick Mahomes faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.

Sam Darnold

Fortified12.3

ESPN12.9

Sleeper14.3

FantasyPros—

Sam Darnold faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Patrick Mahomes projects for 14.3 points in half-PPR scoring, 2.1 more than Sam Darnold. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 3:17 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.