RESEARCH PICK
Patrick Mahomes
QB ยท KCStats & schedule โบ14.3FF projected
โ -1.3 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Tyler Shough this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Patrick Mahomes
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Patrick Mahomes after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at SEATHE ALTERNATIVE
Tyler Shough
QB ยท NOStats & schedule โบ14.6FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
Patrick Mahomes
FF14.3 FP
Boosted Trees16.0 FP
Workload15.2 FP
Monte Carlo15.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 13.7 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 3.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 28.0 pass attempts per game.
Tyler Shough
FF14.6 FP
Boosted Trees15.6 FP
Workload13.7 FP
Monte Carlo13.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 14.3 FP.
- The PIT defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.0 targets and 2.9 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 34.3 pass attempts per game.
Projection breakdown
Patrick Mahomes
Fortified14.3
ESPN15.6
Sleeper15.5
FantasyProsโ
Patrick Mahomes faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Tyler Shough
Fortified14.6
ESPN15.3
Sleeper14.8
FantasyProsโ
Tyler Shough faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 14.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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