
Should I start Michael Wilson or Rachaad White this week? (Half-PPR Week 10 2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
One or both games have started
Treat these as projection comparisons, not a fresh lineup instruction. Check your league’s lineup locks before making changes.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
FORTIFIED FANTASY · TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Michael Wilson get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Rachaad White
RB · WASStats & schedule ›Why this pick?
Michael Wilson
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 9.6 FP
- Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Michael Wilson faces LAR in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 13.5 fantasy points. IR
Rachaad White
- FF projection
- 9.8 FP +0.1vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 9.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 9.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 9.6 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 10.3 FP
- Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Rachaad White faces NYG in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 9.4 fantasy points.
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Michael Wilson and Rachaad White?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
Sleeper, Boosted Trees project Rachaad White higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson has a 0.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against LAR. His recorded recent scoring average is 13.5 FP, putting this forecast 13.5 points below that average.
Rachaad White
Rachaad White has a 9.8 FP forecast in Half-PPR at NYG. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.4 FP, putting this forecast 0.4 points above that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Michael Wilson | Rachaad White | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 0.0 FP | 9.8 FP | Rachaad White +9.8 |
| Boosted Trees | 9.6 FP | 10.3 FP | Rachaad White +0.7 |
Before the first kickoff. Michael Wilson: Sun 4:05 PM ET. Rachaad White: Thu 8:15 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ·
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 22.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 21.6Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 22.022.7Expected FP - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 21.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 24.4Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 19.321.1Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 19.320.4Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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Chuba Hubbard18.8projected FP
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