
Should I start Keon Coleman or Marvin Harrison Jr. this week? Week 10 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Keon Coleman
+0.6 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Keon Coleman over Marvin Harrison Jr. for Week 10 Half-PPR: 5.4 projected points versus 4.8.
- Keon Coleman: 2.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Keon Coleman: 1.25% matchup reduction against NYJ.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Marvin Harrison Jr. get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR ยท HOUStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Keon Coleman
- FF projection
- 5.4 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.7 FP
- Sleeper
- 7.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Keon Coleman faces NYJ in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
- FF projection
- 4.8 FP -0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.1 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Marvin Harrison Jr. faces CLE in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 5.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 20.8FantasyPros 19.220.3Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.3Sleeper 15.9FantasyPros 16.418.1Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 17.218.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Parker Washington14.1projected FP