Should I start Jordan Addison or Mark Andrews this week? (Half-PPR Week 10 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Check availability before choosing

Jordan Addison: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. FantasyPros estimates a 73% chance of playing (checked Nov 13, 7:08 PM ET). His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.

Jordan Addison · Injury report dated Nov 13, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Jordan Addison: 5.7 FP recent scoring average.
Mark Andrews: 3.2 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 13, 2026, 7:08 PM ET · Half-PPR

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Jordan Addison

WR · MINStats & schedule

8.4FF projected

↓ -1.0 vs ESPN

at GB

Sun 1:00 PM ET

CHECK AVAILABILITY

Mark Andrews

TE · BALStats & schedule

5.0FF projected

↓ -0.5 vs ESPN

vs LAC

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Jordan Addison

FF projection: 8.4 FP -1.0vs ESPN
ESPN: 9.4 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 8.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Jordan Addison faces GB in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 5.7 fantasy points. Jordan Addison is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 73% chance of playing (checked Nov 13, 7:08 PM ET).

Mark Andrews

FF projection: 5.0 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.4 FP
Sleeper: 5.4 FP
FantasyPros: 5.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Mark Andrews faces LAC in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Updated Nov 13, 2026, 7:08 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Jordan Addison and Mark Andrews?

Availability takes priority over the points comparison. The headline warning above still applies; the supporting forecasts below do not clear an injured player to start.

ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros, Boosted Trees project Jordan Addison higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.

Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison has a 8.4 FP forecast in Half-PPR at GB. His recorded recent scoring average is 5.7 FP, putting this forecast 2.7 points above that average. His availability needs checking before kickoff; a projection does not confirm that he will play.

Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews has a 5.0 FP forecast in Half-PPR against LAC. His recorded recent scoring average is 3.2 FP, putting this forecast 1.8 points above that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%; it is already included in the projection.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Jordan Addison	Mark Andrews	Projected edge
ESPN	9.4 FP	5.4 FP	Jordan Addison +4.0
Sleeper	8.2 FP	5.4 FP	Jordan Addison +2.8
FantasyPros	8.4 FP	5.2 FP	Jordan Addison +3.2
Boosted Trees	7.9 FP	7.5 FP	Jordan Addison +0.4

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Jordan Addison: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Mark Andrews: Mon 8:15 PM ET. If a questionable player has the later kickoff, keep an eligible later-game replacement available. Where your league allows it, putting a later-game starter in FLEX can preserve swap options.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

16.824.4

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
Mean 22.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.6Sleeper 21.8FantasyPros 21.8
22.6Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
Mean 21.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.4Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 19.9
21.4Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.4Sleeper 20.6FantasyPros 19.6
20.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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Flex · Week 10