
Should I start Jahan Dotson or Michael Mayer this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jahan Dotson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Jahan Dotson: 11.7 versus 8.6 FP per game. Jahan Dotson receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-6.25% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

6.5FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Michael Mayer
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ6.0FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Jahan Dotson
FF6.5 FP
Boosted Trees8.0 FP
Workload6.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 11.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.8 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 11.7 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Michael Mayer
FF6.0 FP
Boosted Trees5.8 FP
Workload8.0 FP
Monte Carlo8.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.6 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jahan Dotson
Fortified6.5
ESPN6.5
Sleeper4.7
FantasyProsโ
Jahan Dotson faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Michael Mayer
Fortified6.0
ESPN6.5
Sleeper5.5
FantasyProsโ
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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