THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Lil'Jordan Humphrey this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Lil'Jordan Humphrey receives the better positional matchup adjustment (2.5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.2 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.9 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.9
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper1.5
FantasyProsโ
Lil'Jordan Humphrey faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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