
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Keenan Allen this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
Check availability before choosing
Garrett Wilson: His availability is unresolved. Recheck his status before kickoff; a projection is not confirmation that he will play. FantasyPros estimates a 9% chance of playing (checked Nov 5, 9:43 PM ET). His projections are shown below, but this comparison needs an availability check. Check back later this week for updated projections and injury news before setting your lineup.
Garrett Wilson ยท Injury report dated
- Garrett Wilson: 7.1 FP recent scoring average.
- Garrett Wilson: 8.75% matchup reduction against KC.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR



Keenan Allen
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 7.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%. Garrett Wilson is questionable. Check his availability before kickoff. FantasyPros estimates a 9% chance of playing (checked Nov 5, 9:43 PM ET).
Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen faces DAL in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.6Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.420.7Expected FP - 2
Puka NacuaWR ยท LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 20.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.9Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 19.820.4Expected FP - 3
CeeDee LambWR ยท DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.1Sleeper 16.8FantasyPros 16.617.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba20.7projected FP
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CeeDee Lamb17.6projected FP
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Ja'Marr Chase17.4projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase17.4projected FP
Tee Higgins17.0projected FP
Tee Higgins17.0projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown16.4projected FP
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