Should I start Dylan Sampson or Kendre Miller this week? Week 9 Half-PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Dylan Sampson

+2.0 projected edge · Half-PPR

Start Dylan Sampson over Kendre Miller for Week 9 Half-PPR: 8.1 projected points versus 6.1.

Dylan Sampson: 9.6 FP recent scoring average.
Dylan Sampson: 10% matchup lift against NO.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 2026, 11:05 AM ET · Half-PPR

FF PICK

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLEStats & schedule

8.1FF projected

↑ +0.9 vs ESPN

at NO

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Kendre Miller

RB · NOStats & schedule

6.1FF projected

↓ -1.8 vs ESPN

vs CLE

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Why this pick?

Dylan Sampson

FF projection: 8.1 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.2 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Dylan Sampson faces NO in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 9.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.

Kendre Miller

FF projection: 6.1 FP -1.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.9 FP
Sleeper: 7.9 FP
FantasyPros: 7.8 FP
Boosted Trees: -2.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Kendre Miller faces CLE in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 6.2 fantasy points.

Dylan Sampson projects for 8.1 points in half-PPR scoring, 2.0 more than Kendre Miller. This is a projection-based recommendation, not a guarantee. Verify the latest injury report and active status before kickoff.

Updated Nov 7, 2026, 11:05 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT

What separates Dylan Sampson and Kendre Miller?

Dylan Sampson holds a 2.0 FP projected edge over Kendre Miller. Read that as an expected-points preference, not a promise that he will finish higher.

The available estimates disagree: Boosted Trees leans toward Dylan Sampson, while ESPN, Sleeper, FantasyPros lean toward Kendre Miller. That disagreement is a reason to examine the matchup and availability rather than count providers as votes.

Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson has a 8.1 FP forecast in Half-PPR at NO. His recorded recent scoring average is 9.6 FP, putting this forecast 1.4 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment raises the FF estimate by 10%; it is already included in the projection.

Kendre Miller

Kendre Miller has a 6.1 FP forecast in Half-PPR against CLE. His recorded recent scoring average is 6.2 FP.

Compare the saved forecasts side by side

Source	Dylan Sampson	Kendre Miller	Projected edge
ESPN	7.2 FP	7.9 FP	Kendre Miller +0.7
Sleeper	7.4 FP	7.9 FP	Kendre Miller +0.5
FantasyPros	7.3 FP	7.8 FP	Kendre Miller +0.5
Boosted Trees	5.1 FP	-2.1 FP	Dylan Sampson +7.1

Model save times and conditional-input notes are listed in Why this pick. These forecasts use the selected scoring preset; they do not replace custom league rules.

Before the first kickoff. Dylan Sampson: Sun 1:00 PM ET. Kendre Miller: Sun 1:00 PM ET.

This is a lineup choice, not an instruction to drop the other player. For bye coverage, roster moves and your league’s actual playoff weeks, build your GamePlan ↗.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

RB. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

19.425.0

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 25.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 24.2Sleeper 22.9FantasyPros 23.5
25.0Expected FP
2
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 21.5Sleeper 20.1FantasyPros 19.7
20.6Expected FP
3
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 20.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 19.6Sleeper 20.7FantasyPros 19.4
20.2Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

YOUR LINEUP · A CLOSER LOOK

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