THE ALTERNATIVE
Drew Ogletree
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.6FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Drew Ogletree or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Payne Durham: 0.3 versus 0.3 FP per game. Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Drew Ogletree
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload0.4 FP
Monte Carlo0.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Drew Ogletree
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Drew Ogletree faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.9
ESPN0.8
Sleeper1.0
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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