
Should I start Colby Parkinson or Oronde Gadsden II this week? Week 10 Half-PPR (2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Colby Parkinson
+1.7 projected edge ยท Half-PPR
Start Colby Parkinson over Oronde Gadsden II for Week 10 Half-PPR: 6.1 projected points versus 4.5.
- Colby Parkinson: 5.3 FP recent scoring average.
- Colby Parkinson: 1.25% matchup lift against ARI.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Oronde Gadsden II get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Oronde Gadsden II
TE ยท LACStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Colby Parkinson
- FF projection
- 6.1 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 6.1 FP
- Sleeper
- 5.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.9 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 7.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Colby Parkinson faces ARI in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
Oronde Gadsden II
- FF projection
- 4.5 FP -0.7vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.2 FP
- Sleeper
- 3.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 3.4 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Oronde Gadsden II faces BAL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 5.2 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.5Sleeper 13.9FantasyPros 13.514.1Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 13.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 13.2Sleeper 13.5FantasyPros 13.613.9Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs LARSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.4Sleeper 12.2FantasyPros 12.112.5Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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