THE ALTERNATIVE
AJ Dillon
RB · CARStats & schedule ›2.3FF projected
↓ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Brevyn Spann-Ford this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Brevyn Spann-Ford
Week 7 · Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Brevyn Spann-Ford: 1.8 versus 1.2 FP per game. Brevyn Spann-Ford receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -7.5%).
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
vs TBRESEARCH PICK
Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE · DALStats & schedule ›2.1FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees2.4 FP
Workload2.7 FP
Monte Carlo2.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.2 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.8 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
AJ Dillon
Fortified2.3
ESPN3.0
Sleeper2.2
FantasyPros—
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Brevyn Spann-Ford
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.5
Sleeper1.6
FantasyPros—
Brevyn Spann-Ford faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points.
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