
Should I start AJ Barner or Tez Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tez Johnson
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Tez Johnson: 4.1 versus 2.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

5.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Tez Johnson
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.8FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
AJ Barner
FF5.7 FP
Boosted Trees6.4 FP
Workload4.9 FP
Monte Carlo4.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.8 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Tez Johnson
FF5.8 FP
Boosted Trees7.1 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
AJ Barner
Fortified5.7
ESPN5.9
Sleeper6.2
FantasyProsโ
AJ Barner faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Tez Johnson
Fortified5.8
ESPN7.3
Sleeper4.6
FantasyProsโ
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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