Fortified Fantasy

Week 92026 ยท QB ยท PICKUP COMPARISON

Who should I pick up: Geno Smith or Tyler Shough?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Tyler Shough

If both are available and you need Week 9 points, pick up Tyler Shough over Geno Smith: 16.8 versus 13.3 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:05 PM ET ยท Common scoring preset

THE WEEK 9 FILE ยท REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hallโ€™s return. Cooperโ€™s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis โ†—

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Tyler Shough is the stronger immediate points option. Geno Smith is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.3 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 24.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 1.27 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection
13.3 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN
14.0 FP
Sleeper
14.4 FP
FantasyPros
14.3 FP
Boosted Trees
11.4 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough projects for 16.8 Standard points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 20.4 FP. He is rostered in 65.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.22 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection
16.8 FP +1.5vs ESPN
ESPN
15.3 FP
Sleeper
14.7 FP
FantasyPros
16.9 FP
Boosted Trees
15.9 FP
Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster data as of Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET / Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPNโ€™s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

FEATURED ยท YOUR NEXT MOVE

GamePlan.Fortify your season.Own the playoffs.

See your season unfold. Build stronger lineups, make smarter moves and plan your playoff push. Think weeks ahead while your league mates are still figuring out Sunday.

YOUR PICKUP MAP EXAMPLE
Example free-agent list with highlighted pickup recommendations
#1 Week ยท #1 ROS ยท #1 Playoffs
#3 Playoffs
#3 Week
โ— Weekโ— ROSโ— PlayoffsFortifiedFantasy.com

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15โ€“18 are a calendar view; your leagueโ€™s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

WindowGeno SmithTyler Shough
Next 3 weeks44.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected50.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule140.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected ยท Bye Week 13 ยท cover needed165.2 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15โ€“1863.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected66.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected
Weekly pickup outlook
WeekGeno SmithTyler Shough
Week 913.3 FPvs KC16.8 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 1017.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection16.6 FPvs CAR
Week 1114.4 FPvs LAC16.7 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 1218.0 FPvs MIAHigher projection17.3 FPvs CIN
Week 13BYE15.3 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 1414.2 FPvs DEN16.3 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 1519.4 FPvs ARIHigher projection14.4 FPvs TB
Week 1615.5 FPvs NE21.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 1712.1 FPvs MIN15.8 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 1816.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection14.6 FPvs TB

Outlook updated Nov 6, 4:09 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE

Before you make the deal.

What could Tyler Shough get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.

Browse deadline trades โ†—

TRADE MATCHUP

Choose a player

PICKUP RANKINGS ยท ยท WEEK 9

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

17.7 FP23.3 FP
  1. Joe BurrowQB ยท 99.2% rostered
    23.3
  2. Brock PurdyQB ยท 98.7% rostered
    22.1
  3. Dak PrescottQB ยท 92.9% rostered
    20.7
  4. Jared GoffQB ยท 92.0% rostered
    20.2
  5. Jayden DanielsQB ยท 95.2% rostered
    19.6
See full QB rankings โ†—

What about Tyler Shough versus these pickups?

QB ยท Week 9
Caleb Williams17.4projected FP
Tyler Shough16.8projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Tyler Shough16.8projected FP
Jordan Love16.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Tyler Shough16.8projected FP
Kirk Cousins16.3projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Tyler Shough16.8projected FP
C.J. Stroud16.0projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB ยท Week 9
Joe Burrow23.3projected FP
Brock Purdy22.1projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Brock Purdy22.1projected FP
Dak Prescott20.7projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Dak Prescott20.7projected FP
Jared Goff20.2projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Jared Goff20.2projected FP
Jayden Daniels19.6projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Jayden Daniels19.6projected FP
Patrick Mahomes II19.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Patrick Mahomes II19.4projected FP
Malik Willis19.2projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Malik Willis19.2projected FP
Drake Maye19.0projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—
QB ยท Week 9
Drake Maye19.0projected FP
Matthew Stafford18.4projected FP
Compare the pickups โ†—

Your next pickup decision

Search any Start/Sit player. If a Pickup comparison is unavailable, weโ€™ll open Start/Sit.

Browse QB pickups โ†— ยท Back to Start/Sit โ†—