Who should I pick up: Jake Ferguson or Noah Gray?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

THE PICKUP CALL

Check availability before adding

Jake Ferguson has the higher Week 9 projection, but his availability needs checking. If he is cleared, he leads Noah Gray by 0.7 projected points. Recheck the latest status before spending a claim or dropping anyone.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:24 PM ET · Half-PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs IND

Stats & schedule ›

4.5FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check availability before adding

41.9%rostered on ESPN-0.35 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Noah Gray

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

3.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

0.3%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

This comparison needs more than the headline projection. Noah Gray is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a TE vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson projects for 4.5 Half-PPR points against IND this week. His recent scoring average is 0.8 FP. He is rostered in 41.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.35 percentage points. His injury designation makes this a conditional pickup; verify his status before committing. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.5 FP
Sleeper: 6.7 FP
FantasyPros: 4.3 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Noah Gray

Noah Gray projects for 3.8 Half-PPR points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 7.1 FP. He is rostered in 0.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 3.8 FP +0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 3.1 FP
Sleeper: 3.5 FP
FantasyPros: 3.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 2.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET

Roster data as of Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET / Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jake Ferguson	Noah Gray
Next 3 weeks	13.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	12.0 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	38.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed	40.1 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	17.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	16.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Jake Ferguson	Noah Gray
Week 9	4.5 FPvs INDHigher projection	3.8 FPvs NYJ
Week 10	4.2 FPvs SFHigher projection	3.9 FPvs ATL
Week 11	4.6 FPvs TENHigher projection	4.3 FPvs ARI
Week 12	3.9 FPvs PHI	4.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	3.7 FPvs SEA	3.8 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	4.1 FPvs CINHigher projection
Week 15	4.0 FPvs LAR	4.0 FPvs NE
Week 16	4.3 FPvs JACHigher projection	3.9 FPvs SF
Week 17	4.3 FPvs NYGHigher projection	3.8 FPvs LAC
Week 18	5.0 FPvs WASHigher projection	4.5 FPvs LV

Outlook updated Nov 7, 12:32 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · Rankings position · WEEK 9

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

9.4 FP15.2 FP

Brock BowersTE · 99.9% rostered
15.2
George KittleTE · 98.5% rostered
14.6
Trey McBrideTE · 99.9% rostered
12.0
Sam LaPortaTE · 96.6% rostered
10.2
Isaiah LikelyTE · 95.5% rostered
10.0

See full TE rankings ↗

More TE pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

TE · Week 9