Should I drop Tyler Higbee for T.J. Hockenson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Ultra Smash: add T.J. Hockenson for Tyler Higbee

This week’s projections are 4.0 FP for Tyler Higbee and 6.9 FP for T.J. Hockenson. T.J. Hockenson leads by 43.2 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:24 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Tyler Higbee

TE · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

4.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

10.5%rostered on ESPN-0.26 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

6.9FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN+0.02 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Tyler Higbee is 10.5% rostered; T.J. Hockenson is 81.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee projects for 4.0 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 1.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 10.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.26 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.0 FP +0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 3.6 FP
Sleeper: 5.1 FP
FantasyPros: 4.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 6.9 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 10.7 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.9 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.0 FP
Sleeper: 6.1 FP
FantasyPros: 5.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 12:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Tyler Higbee	T.J. Hockenson
Next 3 weeks	7.3 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	19.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	26.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	69.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	11.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	30.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Tyler Higbee	T.J. Hockenson
Week 9	4.0 FPvs WAS	6.9 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 10	3.3 FPvs ARI	5.9 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	6.4 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 12	2.6 FPvs GB	6.8 FPvs ATLHigher projection
Week 13	3.0 FPvs KC	6.8 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 14	2.8 FPvs SF	6.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 15	3.1 FPvs DAL	8.2 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 16	2.5 FPvs SEA	8.1 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 17	2.9 FPvs TB	7.0 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 18	2.5 FPvs SEA	7.0 FPvs CHIHigher projection