Should I drop Trey McBride for George Kittle?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 8.6 FP for Trey McBride and 11.7 FP for George Kittle. George Kittle is ahead by 9.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 0.9 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

8.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

George Kittle

TE · SF · vs LV

Stats & schedule ›

11.7FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

98.5%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Trey McBride is 99.9% rostered; George Kittle is 98.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Trey McBride

Trey McBride projects for 8.6 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 11.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.6 FP +1.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.3 FP
Sleeper: 8.2 FP
FantasyPros: 8.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 10.7 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

George Kittle

George Kittle projects for 11.7 Standard points against LV this week. His recent scoring average is 9.8 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 6.25%. He is rostered in 98.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 11.7 FP +0.8vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.9 FP
Sleeper: 10.5 FP
FantasyPros: 10.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.5 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Trey McBride	George Kittle
Next 3 weeks	27.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	31.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	91.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed	101.5 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	42.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	41.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Trey McBride	George Kittle
Week 9	8.6 FPvs SEA	11.7 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 10	9.3 FPvs LAR	10.9 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 11	9.9 FPvs KCHigher projection	8.4 FPvs MIN
Week 12	12.0 FPvs WASHigher projection	8.9 FPvs SEA
Week 13	9.5 FPvs PHI	10.3 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	9.6 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 15	10.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	10.0 FPvs LAC
Week 16	10.8 FPvs NOHigher projection	10.4 FPvs KC
Week 17	11.9 FPvs LVHigher projection	9.8 FPvs PHI
Week 18	9.4 FPvs SF	11.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection