Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Dalton Kincaid?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 6.9 FP for T.J. Hockenson and 5.8 FP for Dalton Kincaid. Dalton Kincaid is ahead by 0.7 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 1.2 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

6.9FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

81.0%rostered on ESPN+0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

5.8FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

77.4%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

T.J. Hockenson is 81.0% rostered; Dalton Kincaid is 77.4% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson projects for 6.9 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 10.7 FP. He is rostered in 81.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.9 FP +0.9vs ESPN
ESPN: 6.0 FP
Sleeper: 6.1 FP
FantasyPros: 5.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid projects for 5.8 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 9.2 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 77.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.8 FP +0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.2 FP
Sleeper: 5.9 FP
FantasyPros: 5.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	T.J. Hockenson	Dalton Kincaid
Next 3 weeks	19.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	20.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	69.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	70.4 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	30.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	29.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	T.J. Hockenson	Dalton Kincaid
Week 9	6.9 FPvs BUFHigher projection	5.8 FPvs MIN
Week 10	5.9 FPvs GB	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	6.4 FPvs SF	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	6.8 FPvs ATL	7.3 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	6.8 FPvs CAR	7.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	6.7 FPvs NEHigher projection	6.4 FPvs GB
Week 15	8.2 FPvs DETHigher projection	7.1 FPvs CHI
Week 16	8.1 FPvs WASHigher projection	6.8 FPvs DEN
Week 17	7.0 FPvs NYJ	7.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	7.0 FPvs CHI	7.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection