Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Dallas Goedert?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Smash: add Dallas Goedert for Jake Ferguson

This week’s projections are 3.4 FP for Jake Ferguson and 5.6 FP for Dallas Goedert. Dallas Goedert leads by 20.6 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call. Jake Ferguson is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:09 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · vs IND

Stats & schedule ›

3.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Check current availability

41.9%rostered on ESPN-0.35 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Stats & schedule ›

5.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

80.8%rostered on ESPN-0.37 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Jake Ferguson is 41.9% rostered; Dallas Goedert is 80.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson projects for 3.4 Standard points against IND this week. His recent scoring average is 0.4 FP. He is rostered in 41.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.35 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 3.4 FP
Sleeper: 5.1 FP
FantasyPros: 3.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 3.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert projects for 5.6 Standard points against NYG this week. His recent scoring average is 4.7 FP. He is rostered in 80.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.37 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 5.6 FP +1.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 4.4 FP
Sleeper: 6.3 FP
FantasyPros: 5.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.9 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jake Ferguson	Dallas Goedert
Next 3 weeks	9.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	11.0 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	28.4 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 14 · cover needed	49.0 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	13.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	20.3 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Jake Ferguson	Dallas Goedert
Week 9	3.4 FPvs IND	5.6 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 10	3.0 FPvs SFHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	3.4 FPvs TEN	5.4 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 12	3.0 FPvs PHI	5.9 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 13	2.6 FPvs SEA	6.2 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	5.7 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 15	2.9 FPvs LAR	4.6 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 16	3.1 FPvs JAC	5.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection
Week 17	3.2 FPvs NYG	5.1 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 18	3.8 FPvs WAS	5.4 FPvs NYGHigher projection