Should I drop Eli Raridon for AJ Barner?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 4.4 FP for Eli Raridon and 4.9 FP for AJ Barner. AJ Barner is ahead by 2.4 FP across the evaluated weeks and behind by 0.4 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 11:50 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Eli Raridon

TE · NE · vs GB

Stats & schedule ›

4.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Eli Raridon FAAB guide ↗

4.7%rostered on ESPN-0.11 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

4.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? AJ Barner FAAB guide ↗

7.2%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Eli Raridon is 4.7% rostered; AJ Barner is 7.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Eli Raridon

Eli Raridon projects for 4.4 Standard points against GB this week. His recent scoring average is 4.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 4.7% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.11 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.4 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.0 FP
Sleeper: 4.8 FP
FantasyPros: 5.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 3.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

AJ Barner

AJ Barner projects for 4.9 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 2.8 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 7.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.9 FP -0.6vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.5 FP
Sleeper: 5.0 FP
FantasyPros: 4.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Eli Raridon	AJ Barner
Next 3 weeks	9.5 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	10.2 FPHigher projection2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	39.2 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	41.6 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	17.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	17.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Eli Raridon	AJ Barner
Week 9	4.4 FPvs GB	4.9 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 10	5.1 FPvs DET	5.3 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	BYE
Week 12	4.1 FPvs LAC	4.3 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 13	4.5 FPvs BUF	5.1 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 14	3.4 FPvs MIN	4.7 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 15	4.2 FPvs KC	4.3 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 16	4.3 FPvs NYJ	4.3 FPvs LAR
Week 17	4.1 FPvs DEN	4.6 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 18	5.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection	4.2 FPvs LAR