Should I drop Darren Waller for Terrance Ferguson?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Check the pickup before making a move

Terrance Ferguson needs a current availability or game-status check. Do not drop Darren Waller on the strength of an unresolved projection.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 12:04 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Darren Waller

TE · CAR · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

3.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.9%rostered on ESPN-0.11 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Terrance Ferguson

TE · LAR · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

1.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

Planning a bid? Terrance Ferguson FAAB guide ↗

13.3%rostered on ESPN+0.08 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Darren Waller is 7.9% rostered; Terrance Ferguson is 13.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Darren Waller

Darren Waller projects for 3.9 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 4.0 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 7.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.11 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 3.9 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 3.7 FP
Sleeper: 4.2 FP
FantasyPros: 3.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 4.1 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson projects for 1.4 Standard points against WAS this week. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 13.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.08 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 1.4 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 0.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 7, 11:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Darren Waller	Terrance Ferguson
Next 3 weeks	13.1 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	5.5 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	42.6 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	28.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	17.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	13.2 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Darren Waller	Terrance Ferguson
Week 9	3.9 FPvs DENHigher projection	1.4 FPvs WAS
Week 10	4.7 FPvs NOHigher projection	4.0 FPvs ARI
Week 11	4.5 FPvs BALHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	4.2 FPvs TBHigher projection	3.2 FPvs GB
Week 13	3.5 FPvs MIN	3.6 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 14	4.8 FPvs NOHigher projection	3.3 FPvs SF
Week 15	4.6 FPvs CINHigher projection	3.9 FPvs DAL
Week 16	4.3 FPvs PITHigher projection	2.9 FPvs SEA
Week 17	3.7 FPvs SEAHigher projection	3.3 FPvs TB
Week 18	4.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	3.0 FPvs SEA