Should I drop AJ Barner for Dalton Schultz?

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Dalton Schultz for AJ Barner

This week’s projections are 4.9 FP for AJ Barner and 4.7 FP for Dalton Schultz. Dalton Schultz leads by 6.5 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

AJ Barner

TE · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

4.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? AJ Barner FAAB guide ↗

7.3%rostered on ESPN-0.07 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Dalton Schultz

TE · HOU · vs LAC

Stats & schedule ›

4.7FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

24.3%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

AJ Barner is 7.3% rostered; Dalton Schultz is 24.3% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

AJ Barner

AJ Barner projects for 4.9 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 2.8 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 7.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.07 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.9 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 5.6 FP
Sleeper: 5.0 FP
FantasyPros: 4.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.8 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz projects for 4.7 Standard points against LAC this week. His recent scoring average is 3.9 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 24.3% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 4.7 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 4.5 FP
Sleeper: 4.8 FP
FantasyPros: 4.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 5.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	AJ Barner	Dalton Schultz
Next 3 weeks	10.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	14.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	41.6 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	48.1 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	17.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	18.7 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	AJ Barner	Dalton Schultz
Week 9	4.9 FPvs ARIHigher projection	4.7 FPvs LAC
Week 10	5.3 FPvs LVHigher projection	4.3 FPvs CLE
Week 11	BYE	5.2 FPvs INDHigher projection
Week 12	4.3 FPvs SF	4.9 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 13	5.1 FPvs DALHigher projection	4.6 FPvs PIT
Week 14	4.7 FPvs NYG	5.7 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 15	4.3 FPvs PHI	4.7 FPvs JACHigher projection
Week 16	4.3 FPvs LAR	4.5 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 17	4.6 FPvs CARHigher projection	4.1 FPvs GB
Week 18	4.2 FPvs LAR	5.3 FPvs TENHigher projection