Should I drop Trey Smack for Ryan Fitzgerald?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Ryan Fitzgerald for Trey Smack

This week’s projections are 7.1 FP for Trey Smack and 6.9 FP for Ryan Fitzgerald. Ryan Fitzgerald leads by 5.3 FP across the evaluated weeks and holds up in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:48 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Trey Smack

K · GB · vs NE

Stats & schedule ›

7.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

10.5%rostered on ESPN-0.45 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Ryan Fitzgerald

K · CAR · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

6.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

8.5%rostered on ESPN-0.38 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Trey Smack is 10.5% rostered; Ryan Fitzgerald is 8.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Trey Smack

Trey Smack projects for 7.1 Standard points against NE this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. He is rostered in 10.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.45 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.1 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 6.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.6 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Ryan Fitzgerald

Ryan Fitzgerald projects for 6.9 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 8.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.38 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 6.9 FP -0.4vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 4:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Trey Smack	Ryan Fitzgerald
Next 3 weeks	14.7 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	22.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	69.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 11 · cover needed	74.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	30.6 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	30.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Trey Smack	Ryan Fitzgerald
Week 9	7.1 FPvs NEHigher projection	6.9 FPvs DEN
Week 10	7.6 FPvs MIN	8.1 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	7.6 FPvs BALHigher projection
Week 12	8.0 FPvs LARHigher projection	7.1 FPvs TB
Week 13	8.2 FPvs NOHigher projection	7.0 FPvs MIN
Week 14	8.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection	8.0 FPvs NO
Week 15	8.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	8.0 FPvs CIN
Week 16	7.0 FPvs CHI	7.6 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 17	8.1 FPvs HOUHigher projection	7.1 FPvs SEA
Week 18	7.4 FPvs DET	7.6 FPvs ATLHigher projection