Should I drop Spencer Shrader for Wil Lutz?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Spencer Shrader

This week’s projections are 8.6 FP for Spencer Shrader and 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz. Spencer Shrader retains a 4.5 FP advantage across the evaluated weeks. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Spencer Shrader

K · IND · vs DAL

Stats & schedule ›

8.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

83.0%rostered on ESPN+0.67 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.32 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Spencer Shrader is 83.0% rostered; Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Spencer Shrader

Spencer Shrader projects for 8.6 Standard points against DAL this week. His recent scoring average is 4.3 FP. He is rostered in 83.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.67 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.6 FP -2.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 10.9 FP
Sleeper: 9.7 FP
FantasyPros: 8.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 9.4 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.32 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Spencer Shrader	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	27.0 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	16.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	79.2 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 13 · cover needed	74.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	35.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	33.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Spencer Shrader	Wil Lutz
Week 9	8.6 FPvs DALHigher projection	8.1 FPvs CAR
Week 10	9.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	9.3 FPvs HOUHigher projection	8.5 FPvs LV
Week 12	8.2 FPvs NYG	8.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	BYE	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	8.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection	8.1 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	9.0 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.3 FPvs LV
Week 16	9.4 FPvs CINHigher projection	8.4 FPvs BUF
Week 17	8.4 FPvs CLEHigher projection	8.0 FPvs NE
Week 18	8.2 FPvs JAC	8.2 FPvs LAC