Should I drop Ryan Fitzgerald for Wil Lutz?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

This week’s projections are 7.0 FP for Ryan Fitzgerald and 8.1 FP for Wil Lutz. Wil Lutz is ahead by 0.1 FP across the evaluated weeks and ahead by 2.9 FP in the Weeks 15–18 outlook. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. These are player forecast totals. Use your league’s playoff weeks and roster needs to make the final call.

Forecast updated Nov 6, 4:10 PM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Ryan Fitzgerald

K · CAR · vs DEN

Stats & schedule ›

7.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

8.5%rostered on ESPN-0.39 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs CAR

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

7.0%rostered on ESPN+0.32 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Ryan Fitzgerald is 8.5% rostered; Wil Lutz is 7.0% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Ryan Fitzgerald

Ryan Fitzgerald projects for 7.0 Standard points against DEN this week. His recent scoring average is 6.0 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 8.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.39 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 7.0 FP -0.3vs ESPN
ESPN: 7.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.2 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 8.1 Standard points against CAR this week. His recent scoring average is 10.0 FP. He is rostered in 7.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.32 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

FF projection: 8.1 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 8.8 FP
Sleeper: 7.4 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP; Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 6, 3:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. For a bye replacement, the hold decision starts after the bye. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Ryan Fitzgerald	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	22.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	16.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Remaining regular-season schedule	74.6 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	74.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · Bye Week 10 · cover needed
Weeks 15–18	30.1 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	33.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Ryan Fitzgerald	Wil Lutz
Week 9	7.0 FPvs DEN	8.1 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 10	8.1 FPvs NOHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	7.6 FPvs BAL	8.5 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 12	7.2 FPvs TB	8.5 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	6.7 FPvs MIN	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	8.0 FPvs NO	8.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 15	7.8 FPvs CIN	8.3 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 16	7.5 FPvs PIT	8.4 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 17	7.2 FPvs SEA	8.0 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 18	7.6 FPvs ATL	8.2 FPvs LACHigher projection